Dogs Of The Week
A lot of home underdogs in the NFL this week. Let’s take a quick look at some decent bets taking points vs. the spread.
MIAMI vs. Atlanta: Nick Saban started the season right with a win over Denver. Gus Frerotte’s spent the past 8 weeks making everyone forget that this Dolphins team isn’t as bad as they look. At 3-4 they’re second in the AFC East. So, despite all appearances to the contrary, this game means something to Miami. Atlanta is a mediocre 5-3 team getting by on a great running game. They’ve got the 23 ranked D and it wouldn’t be such a heartbreaker if the Dolphins came out of this game with a win.
NY JETS vs. San Diego: San Diego may be the best 4-4 team in NFL history. But they’re still 4-4. The Vinny-led Jets aren’t going to inspire many gamblers to play a 40+ QB, but 6 points is 3 too many for a Chargers team on the road. It’s supposed to be 70 and cloudy at the Meadowlands this afternoon. The Chargers’ pass defense has not been good and the Jets should keep this one close. At least within the 6.5 they’re getting on Pro-Line.
GREEN BAY vs. Pittsburgh: Game time temperature: 50. Cloudy with precipitation and winds blowing out of the east at 20-30 mph. That’s what it’s gonna be like in Green Bay today when Charlie Batch takes the field against the Packers. Green Bay is down to practice squad players on offense, but Pittsburgh is missing Bettis and Roethlisberger. How do you break this game down? It all comes down to whether you’re comfortable going with Charlie Batch on the road, in bad weather, against a Packers team that should be winning this conference. It’s only 4 points for the Steelers, but that cover hinges on Pittsburgh’s defense scoring points. The only way Pittsburgh wins by more than 4 is if Favre turns it over a couple times inside the 20.
BALTIMORE vs. Cincinnati: The Ravens played a good game on Monday and Anthony Wright showed he can make some decent throws. I don’t love the Ravens and I won’t be betting this game at 3 points.
ARIZONA vs. Seattle: Arizona comes up with at least one of these wins every year. But Anquan Boldin is out, making this a tough game to call. I don’t like Seattle, but Arizona isn’t exactly a complete football team. They’re the kind of club you can only ever take because you’ve got “a feeling.” And even when they win and cover you’ll be able to see just how easily the game might have swung the other way. This is either an Arizona win (which isn’t too likely) or a 20 point Seattle blowout with a couple TDs for Shaun Alexander.
Chicago vs. NEW ORLEANS:Chicago does have a nice defense, but they’re right up there with Baltimore when it comes to scoring points. New Orleans is coming off a couple really bad losses and there’s no reason to think they can’t cover this number. This is a Chicago team that was on the road last week and only beat a pitiful Lions team on an OT INT. In other words: the Bears are a 3-point-margin-of-victory team if there ever was one.
Houston vs. JACKSONVILLE:Yes the Texans are awful. Yes they’re on the road. And yes, Jacksonville needs this game. But will they cover the 12.5 points Vegas is laying? No. Remember Houston beat the Jags in both ‘04 matchups, playing them tough. It’s tough to lay 10+ with a Jacksonville team that scores around 18/game. You’d have to think the Texans are gonna get shutout to love the Jags in this one.
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